'Europe on track to deliver 21GW green hydrogen electrolyser factory capacity by 2025'

But manufacturers are falling 4GW short of their own targets due to regulatory and financing issues, says H2 alliance

Electrolysers under construction in McPhy factory
Electrolysers under construction in McPhy factoryPhoto: Hydrogen Insight
Europe is on track to deliver 21GW of electrolyser manufacturing capacity over the next three years but will fall short of the 25GW the industry is aiming for, according to an alliance of over 1,000 European H2 industry players and public institutions

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The expansion plans, based on announcements from an array of electrolyser manufacturers including Nel, Cummins, McPhy, Siemens Energy, Topsoe, John Cockerill and Sunfire among others, amount to a “remarkable” 88% compound annual growth rate over the next three years, said the European Clean Hydrogen Alliance (ECHA), in its latest “state of play” report on the electrolyser industry.
But the alliance warned that the electrolyser industry is still facing a host of barriers to ramp up, including supply chain issues, regulatory uncertainty and access to finance.

And it also took issue with the EU’s target of delivering 40% of its key infrastructure — including electrolysers — from European manufacturers, deriding it as confusing and lacking in ambition.

The 88% annual growth rate is based on ramp up from today’s capacity of 3.1GW, which is itself a 24% increase on the 2.5GW capacity reported at the signing of the ECHA’s Joint Declaration on electrolysers in May 2022.

But the industry will fall short of its maximum target set in the Joint Declaration by around 4GW by 2025.

The Joint Declaration presents two 2025 targets, the first, of 17.3GW is based on the hydrogen output required to meet the EU's RePowerEU target of 10 million tonnes of domestically produced green H2 by 2030, while a second of 25GW is based on electrical input.
The EU has already said that RePowerEU would require at least 120GW of domestic electrolysis capacity by 2030, which would require approximately 25GW manufacturing capacity operating from 2025, trade body and ECHA member Hydrogen Europe told Hydrogen Insight.

But the European Commission prefers to use the 17.5GW figure as a reference point, Hydrogen Europe spokesperson said.

The reasons the electrolyser industry is falling short on the 25GW target are threefold, according to the ECHA.

Firstly, it blames the strict additionality rules imposed by the EU for holding up final investment decisions (FIDs) on green hydrogen projects, as well as the speed of implementation. It also identifies regulatory gaps relating to hydrogen certification.

Moreover, it complained that the EU’s plan to mandate that 40% of key climate infrastructure, including electrolysers, should be sourced from European manufacturers is insufficiently ambitious.

Europe has around 30% of all global electrolyser manufacturing capacity, and currently supplies almost all machines in its domestic market, it pointed out.

“Meeting 40% of the EU’s electrolyser needs seems to be less ambitious than the current state of play,” the report read, noting that it would amount to significantly less than the 25GW target outlined in the Joint Declaration.

Electrolysers should be subject to an industry-specific target, the ECHA said.

Financing presents another problem, specifically a “huge gap” between deployment ambitions and allocated funds, which it says would attract private sector investment.

The EU has announced billions of euros in grant schemes for hydrogen research and development, as well as demand-side takeup, and is currently in the process of allocating a further €800m ($876m) for clean technology manufacturing, including electrolysers, and small-scale green hydrogen projects.

But the ECHA called for further action, specifically for the EU’s multilateral bank, the European Investment Bank (EIB) to underwrite billions of euros of loans for electrolyser manufacturers.

Supply chain issues also remain an issue, it added, drawing attention to a proposed ban on a key plastic used in electrolysers, as well as the draft Critical Raw Materials Act launched earlier this year, which seeks to diversify supplies of materials including platinum group metals (PGMs). Most PGMs come from South Africa, which the ECHA said is almost impossible to change.

The ECHA is a public-private partnership launched by the EU in 2020 to bring about clean hydrogen production in the bloc.

Its members include over 1,000 private businesses operating in the hydrogen industry, as well as trade associations, banks, research groups, universities and public bodies such as national energy departments, and civil society groups such as the Environmental Defense Fund and WWF.

UPDATED: to include comments from Hydrogen Europe and revise the EU's RePowerEU electrolysis estimates to 120GW
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Published 28 June 2023, 11:46Updated 28 June 2023, 13:13